2 players, last hand, 1 advances to final table. No surrender. BR 2 $2400 bets first $500 (max) BR 1 $2500 bets $500 dealer up card 7 BR2 cards 10,6 hits to 18 BR1 cards 10,2 How should BR1 play this hand? tgun
Hit It Dealer upcard of 7 is the "swingmaker." You want to be allergic to hitting busting hands when you're the leader and have the high-low correlation. But when the dealer shows 7 you'll need to in most cases. You're slightly under 50% to win if you stand. If you hit hard 16: 4/13 * 100% + 1/13 * 86% + 8/13 * 22% = 44% If you hit hard 15: 4/13 * 100% + 1/13*86% + 7/13 * 22% + 1/13* 48% = 53% Your hard standing number is 16.
