Elimination hand #16 of a 1-table Sit-n-Go Seat 1: 9,000 *Seat 2: 22,500 YOU: 23,500 Seat 2 bets 4,000. What do you bet?
Personally I bet 4000 myself. My rationale: If seat 1 bets 9000 ( likely scenario) and wins they double to 18,000. If you bet 4,000 and lost you've got 19,500 and you still avoid elimination. If seat 1 bets 9000 and get BJ they have 27,000. [actually have 22,500 incorrect math] With your 4,000 bet if you win you get 27,500 and stay BR1. The ONY way you can loose betting 4,000 is if seat one gets BJ, seat 2 wins and you lose. However since you go AFTER seat 2 just mimic what they do. Just my .02
?? How do you get 27,000. Would a blackjack on a 9,000 bet pay 13,500 giving a total of 22,500. That way a loss on a 500 bet would give you a total of 23,000, covering the bj win of seat 1. I would say 500 is the way to go.
You are correct in your math and I wasn't! Personally I'd still bet the 4000 to "stay up/ahead" with seat 2.
Of course, that is the question...staying even with BR2 vs. locking against a BR3 BJ in an elimination hand. I chose the $4000 match and lost to a BR3 BJ and a BR2 19 against my stiff hand and a dealer 8. I think with so many hands to go, the argument is probably that I shoul not have correlated here, risking the KO.
Toonces, There U go! I would've done the same and that's why you listen and learn from the pros here like Jm and others - evidence once again of a valuable lesson learned - one I will not forget.
Take the sure win I would bet $500 and eliminate any chance of losing your advancement. Why give BR3 any chance to beat you? If they do pull a BJ and swing you with a bigger bet on that hand your gone. Advance first and then worry about the other player head to head. Chances are they lose their $4,000 bet anyway and which case you'll even increase you lead going into the last 9 hands. Now even if BR2 win and you lose your still alive and only down $3,500 to 7,500 (should BR2 hit a DD swing), with a new set of 9 hands to play before the next elimination hand. You start counting your chickens before they're hatched and you can get yourself in trouble. This is just my opinion.
